Managing El Niño Risks Under Uncertainty in Peru

Peru is a global hotspot for El Niño-related disaster risk, and recent severe El Niño events (1982-83, 1997-98, and 2017) have led to widespread loss of life and destruction of assets in this central Andean nation. While capacities to forecast and prepare for El Niño in Peru have improved markedly in recent decades, challenges linked to uncertainty and variability in hazard occurrence and exposure coupled with high levels of vulnerability in many sectors and regions of the country continue to produce substantial disaster risk.